F9 3302 · DEN → STL

departs 4:10 PM MT · arrives 7:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3302 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?