Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 4412 · FLL → BWI
departs 9:28 AM ET · arrives 12:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.