Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
G4 228 · PIE → AVL
departs 3:17 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Sat 10/3 51%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.20 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.