Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3641 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

G4 3641 · TTN → PIE

departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 3:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ TTN is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3641 · TTN → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?