Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3388
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3388 · DFW → AMA
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 75%
Fri 10/2 53%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
AMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.