Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3389
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3389 · AMA → DFW
departs 10:14 AM CT · arrives 11:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 56%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at AMA that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
10am departures from AMA are usually not late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 1.41 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.