Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3389
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3389 · AMA → DFW
departs 10:14 AM CT · arrives 11:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 45%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±8 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
10am departures from AMA are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.