Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3407 LANDED 10:06 AM CT, ON TIME · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

took off 9:36 AM CT · landed 10:06 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ABI that day

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Other factors

↓ ABI usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into ABI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

ABI (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5.8 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

Odds over time