Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3443 · DFW → BRO
departs 4:21 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 34%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BRO more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±0 pts
+36 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BRO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to BRO?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
BRO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.