Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3516 · DFW → MFE
departs 11:28 AM CT · arrives 1:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFE
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.