Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3516 · MFE → DFW
departs 1:43 PM CT · arrives 3:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3 13%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+45 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
47%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 76% · changed +45 pts in 24h
+45 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 62% · changed +38 pts in 24h
+38 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +37 pts in 24h
+37 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +35 pts in 24h
+35 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.