Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3569 · DFW → GRK
departs 10:47 PM CT · arrives 11:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 44%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
+47 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
91%
Arrive 1h+ late
58%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +47 pts in 24h
+47 pts
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +58 pts in 24h
+58 pts
91%
Yes 91%
No 9%
Arrive at GRK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +42 pts in 24h
+42 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to GRK?
On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at GRK that day
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
GRK (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.