MQ 3653 · DFW → MAF

departs 3:28 PM CT · arrives 4:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

MAF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3653 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?