Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3657 · DFW → MAF
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 49%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling 2,000 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.25 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.