Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3657 · DFW → MAF
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.