Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3657
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3657 · DFW → MAF
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 46%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MAF that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,140 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.