Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
MQ 3678 · DFW → MEM
departs 3:10 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 42%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±0 pts
+45 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
49%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +45 pts in 24h
+45 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +47 pts in 24h
+47 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
49%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.