Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3706 · ORD → EVV
departs 10:36 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 55%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
85%
chance · ±0 pts
+53 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
85%
Leave 15+ late
83%
Arrive 1h+ late
49%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +53 pts in 24h
+53 pts
85%
Yes 85%
No 15%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +53 pts in 24h
+53 pts
83%
Yes 83%
No 17%
Arrive at EVV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +41 pts in 24h
+41 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to EVV?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
60%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
EVV usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
EVV (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.