MQ 3757 · PHX → STS

took off 10:42 AM MT · landed 12:52 PM PT (scheduled 10:18 AM MT → 12:36 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ STS is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STS

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3757 · PHX → STS

Odds over time

How late did it get to STS?