Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
MQ 3787 · MFE → DFW
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.