Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3787 · MFE → DFW
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±10 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MFE that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.42 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.98 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.