MQ 3879 · PHX → ABQ

took off 12:47 PM MT · landed 2:37 PM MT (scheduled 12:24 PM MT → 2:46 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ABQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ABQ that day

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3879 · PHX → ABQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to ABQ?