Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3904
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
MQ 3904 · LFT → DFW
departs 8:03 PM CT · arrives 9:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Sat 10/3 25%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LFT
Weather at each end
LFT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.