MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

took off 7:53 AM CT · landed 8:54 AM CT (scheduled 7:39 AM CT → 9:07 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 7am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

SGF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?