Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 9867 LANDED 11:41 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

MQ 9867 · MIA → GSO

took off 9:58 AM ET · landed 11:41 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at GSO that day

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GSO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

GSO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 9867 · MIA → GSO

Odds over time