Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5046 LANDED 7:53 AM ET, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5046 · YYZ → CLT

took off 6:31 AM EDT · landed 7:53 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5046 · YYZ → CLT

Odds over time