Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5101 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5101 · ALB → DCA

departs 5:00 AM ET · arrives 6:36 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ALB that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ALB are usually not late

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5101 · ALB → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?