OH 5163 · CLT → GSP

departs 9:55 PM ET · arrives 10:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into GSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5163 · CLT → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?