OH 5273 · PHL → SAV

took off 7:54 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:00 PM ET → 10:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5273 · PHL → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?