OH 5435 · CLT → DAY

took off 8:05 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:55 PM ET → 8:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DAY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5435 · CLT → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?