Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5470 LANDED 4:28 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5470 · CLT → ATW

took off 3:44 PM ET · landed 4:28 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATW that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5470 · CLT → ATW

Odds over time