OO 188 · MSP → OMA

departs 3:31 PM CT · arrives 4:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 188 · MSP → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?