OO 3143 · GEG → SEA

took off 12:58 PM PT · landed 1:55 PM PT (scheduled 12:13 PM PT → 1:30 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from GEG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3143 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?