Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3534 · FSD → MSP
departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 2:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.