Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3534 · MSP → FSD
departs 11:38 AM CT · arrives 12:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.