Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3561
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3561 · FSD → MSP
departs 10:56 AM CT · arrives 12:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day
↑
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
FSD is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.