OO 356 · IAH → MGM

took off 2:43 PM CT · landed 4:07 PM CT (scheduled 2:18 PM CT → 4:16 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MGM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MGM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 356 · IAH → MGM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MGM?