OO 3577 · AUS → MCI

took off 5:18 PM CT · expected to land 7:08 PM CT (scheduled 5:05 PM CT → 7:16 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3577 · AUS → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?