Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3578 · MSP → FSD
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 7:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.