Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3586
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3586 · DTW → LAN
departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
LAN usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
LAN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.