Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3586
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3586 · DTW → LAN
departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAN that day
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
LAN usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
LAN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.