Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3586
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3586 · LAN → DTW
departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAN
↓
LAN usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.