Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3586
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3586 · LAN → DTW
departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±6 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAN that day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
LAN usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.63 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.