OO 3763 · FSD → MSP

departs 1:04 PM CT · arrives 2:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ FSD is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3763 · FSD → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?