OO 3861 · BUF → DTW

took off 12:07 PM ET · landed 12:51 PM ET (scheduled 12:01 PM ET → 1:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from BUF are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3861 · BUF → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?