OO 3888 · MSP → FSD

took off 10:13 AM CT · landed 10:50 AM CT (scheduled 9:18 AM CT → 10:26 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FSD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at FSD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into FSD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

FSD (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3888 · MSP → FSD

Odds over time

How late did it get to FSD?