Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3948
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3948 · MSP → OMA
departs 3:29 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 24%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.