OO 3952 · AUS → MEM

took off 7:37 PM CT · expected to land 8:59 PM CT (scheduled 7:55 PM CT → 9:48 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3952 · AUS → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?