Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3965 · DTW → TVC
departs 4:02 PM ET · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 39%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.