Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3965 · DTW → TVC
departs 4:02 PM ET · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at TVC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.